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Results for elderly sex offenders

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Author: Helmus, Leslie

Title: Assessing the Risk of Older Sex Offenders: Developing the Static-99R and Static-2002R

Summary: Actuarial risk assessment scales and their associated recidivism estimates are generally developed on samples of offenders whose average age is well under 50 years old. Criminal behaviour of all types declines with age; consequently, actuarial scales tend to overestimate recidivism for older offenders. The current study aimed to develop a revised scoring system for two risk assessment tools (Static-99 and Static-2002) that would more accurately describe older offenders’ risk of recidivism. Using data from 8,390 sex offenders derived from 24 separate samples, age was found to add incremental predictive validity to both Static-99 and Static-2002. After creating new age weights, the resulting instruments (Static-99R and Static-2002R) had only slightly higher relative predictive accuracy. The absolute recidivism estimates, however, provided a substantially better fit for older offenders than the recidivism estimates from the original scales. We encourage evaluators to adopt the revised scales with the new age weights.

Details: Ottawa: Public Safety Canada, 2011. 32p.

Source: Internet Resource: Accessed July 6, 2011 at: http://www.publicsafety.gc.ca/res/cor/rep/_fl/2011-01-aroso-eng.pdf

Year: 2011

Country: Canada

URL: http://www.publicsafety.gc.ca/res/cor/rep/_fl/2011-01-aroso-eng.pdf

Shelf Number: 121985

Keywords:
Elderly Sex Offenders
Recidivism
Risk Assessment
Sex Offenders (Canada)